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William Otis's avatar

Hi Jonathan,

Very good to see you doing this newsletter (I do one too!).

I ran into Bryan a few years back when we were both witnesses at a House Judiciary hearing. A thoroughly cordial gentleman, I thought, although as you might expect we had little agreement of policy.

I have a question about second look sentencing: At present, the proposals for it go in only one direction, that being in the inmate's favor. But, just as people can get better, they can also get worse. Indeed, many defense counsel claim that incarceration is counter-productive, because prison is little more than crime school, where inmates mainly learn how to commit more c rime better. And recidivism raters are awful.

So I'm thinking that, in plea bargains (which as you know resolve 95% of federal felony cases), we could add a provision that the court could have a second look after, say, half the sentence was served. At that second look, the sentence could be either decreased or increased depending on the court's judgment whether, all things considered, the inmate had learned the right lessons (sentence decreased) or the wrong ones (sentence increased).

The central premise of second look theory -- that people can change -- seems to me to be unassailable. But I would not urge my fellow conservatives to support it unless it also recognized the equally unassailable, if unfortunate, truth that they sometimes change for the worse.

I enjoy you newsletter, and you could not have chosen two finer "co-conspirators" than Doug and Steve. You wouldn't confuse them with Tom Cotton or Jeff Sessions, but they're good guys.

Cheers,

Bill

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