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The Colonel's avatar

There is a question whether to “DIG” the case because the court appointed amicus seems to have discovered/concluded that the original restitution order was imposed under the VWPA, not the MVRA. So amicus contends the parties are focusing their EPF analysis on the wrong statute. I don’t think the SCOTUS will “DIG” the case. Either the court will accept the case as the 8th Circuit did (restitution was imposed under MVRA) or the court will say that, if restitution was in fact imposed under VWPA, that imposition was clearly punitive as most courts held that restitution under VWPA was punishment for EPF purposes.

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The Colonel's avatar

If the SCOTUS holds that restitution isn’t punishment for EPF purposes, then in the 3d Circuit the Govt will be able to pursue restitution against those in Ellinburg’s position. Right now, the Govt can’t do that because of a 2022 decision in Norwood. But even if the SCOTUS in Ellinburg holds that restitution IS punishment, the 8th Circuit on remand will then have to grapple with the question whether EXTENDING the period to collect that punishment works an EPF violation. Again, the 3d Circuit says it does — a conclusion I don’t think a majority of the SCOTUS would adopt.

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